CCTV:
Mr. Huang, what's your assessment of the overall development of China's foreign trade in 2017? Last year, China's foreign trade registered a double-digit growth, while in the previous two years, foreign trade had seen a year-on-year decrease. Some think the growth (of last year) was only a periodic rebound - what's your opinion?
Huang Songping:
In 2017, the world economy had a moderate recovery, and the domestic economy saw a stable growth. Several factors, such as the promotion of the Belt and Road Initiative and foreign trade policy addressing stable growth, have ensured the double-digit recovery growth of China's foreign trade. The following are the detailed reasons I want to mention.
First, the world economy had a moderate recovery and foreign demand increased. In 2017, the world economy's performance was better than expected and the world market had a larger demand. WTO statistics showed that the exports of commodities in 70 major economies in the world increased by more than nine percent in the first three quarters, which exemplified the obvious growth of world trade.
Second, the domestic economy registered a stable growth and laid a foundation for import growth. In 2017, China's economy retained a stable growth with the deepening of supply-side structural reform. Improving real economy has driven the increase of imports. Meanwhile, China issued a series of policies and measures to expand imports, including lowering the import tariffs of some consumer goods. We also improved the fiscal and financial policies for import expansion, encouraged imports of advanced technology equipment as well as key elements and parts, and enhanced measures to facilitate trade. They all had a positive impact on increasing imports.
Third, the year-on-year increase of commodity prices drove the rapid growth of imports. In 2017, rising commodity prices drove up China's import price index to 109.4, and the prices contributed 52.6 percent of the import growth. Rising prices of imported materials cast an influence on the export of finished products. The export price index of China in 2017 was 103.9, with prices contributing 37.3 percent of export growth.
Fourth, the Belt and Road Initiative has steadily advanced, and new markets have been explored effectively. In 2017, China's import and export with the countries along the Belt and Road routes increased by 17.8 percent, 3.6 percentage points higher than the growth of the national total. In the same period, China's import and export with Latin American countries increased by 22 percent, and that with African countries by 17.3 percent. A string of policies and measures promoting foreign trade growth has taken effect. We have deepened reform to streamline administration, delegate powers and improve regulation and services, thereby reducing the burden on enterprises. Therefore, the domestic business environment has been improved, enterprises have strengthened their innovation capability and the internal forces driving the development of foreign trade have been boosted.
In addition, low base figures of foreign trade in the previous two years also contributed to the high growth in 2017. Thank you.
China Radio International (CRI):
Mr. Huang, in particular we would like to know more about the trade development between China and countries along the Belt and Road in 2017. In addition, what new approaches will the Chinese customs authorities take in pursuing opening up the process of customs clearance on all fronts? Thank you.
Huang Songping:
According to customs statistics, in 2017, China's import from and export to countries along the Belt and Road reached 7.37 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 17.8 percent, 3.6 percentage points higher than China's overall foreign trade growth rate, and accounting for 26.5 percent of the total value of China's foreign trade. Exports totaled 4.3 trillion yuan, an increase of 12.1 percent, while imports were 3.07 trillion yuan, an increase of 26.8 percent.
The Belt and Road Initiative conforms to the trend of the times and the desire of all countries to accelerate their development. Countries along the Belt and Road are pressing ahead with the common construction of the Belt and Road so as to share the benefits of“connectivity in five areas”, namely, connectivity in policy, transportation, trade, currency and the heart of the people. We believe our trade with the countries along the Belt and Road will continue to become a new highlight and an important new area of growth in China's foreign trade.
As for the next step, Chinese customs will improve capability to better serve China's opening up on all fronts as new ground has been broken. Specifically, we will comprehensively deepen our cooperative mechanisms for achieving compatibility in customs clearance procedures with the countries along the Belt and Road, and facilitate mutual recognition of Authorized Economic Operators (AEO) in these countries. We will continue to improve customs supervision and control services, simplify customs clearance processes, and markedly improve trade facilitation. We will continue to transform and upgrade foreign trade, create new drive mechanisms forforeign trade growth, and support the development of new business forms in foreign trade. We will firmly support the hosting of the International Import Expo starting from 2018 and the Global Cross-border E-Commerce Conference, take the initiative in participating in the formulation of international trade rules, and work hard to make contributions to the development of an open economy. Thank you.
China Review News from Hong Kong:
Can you please provide us the trade statistics between the Chinese mainland and Taiwan in 2017? Can you also give us your prediction on the trade outlook between the Chinese mainland and Taiwan in 2018? Thanks.
Huang Songping:
According to the figures from China's General Administration of Customs, the bilateral trade volume between the mainland and Taiwan in 2017 reached 1.35 trillion yuan (US$207.7 billion), a year-on-year increase of 14 percent, accounting for 4.9 percent of the total foreign trade volume of the mainland in 2017. Taiwan is now the mainland's seventh largest trading partner. Last year, exports to Taiwan from the mainland were 297.9 billion yuan (US$45.83 billion), up 12.2 percent; imports from Taiwan to the mainland were 1.05 trillion yuan (US$161.53 billion), up 14.5 percent. The trade deficit reached 753.4 billion yuan (US$115.9 billion), up 15.4 percent.
Peaceful and stable cross-Strait relations are key to their trade development. We do hope that the cross-Strait trade will continue to grow. I believe that the cross-Strait trade will grow healthily in 2018 if we can remove negative influences and strengthen cooperation.
Inter Press Service News Agency:
This year, the overall foreign trade situation remains favorable for China. However, uncertain and unstable factors still exit in the international economy and foreign trade. Would you like to give us some examples about these factors? And how do you view the influence of fluctuations in the RMB and trade conflicts between China and the United States on the exports of China in the long run?
Huang Songping:
I would like to first answer your questions about the RMB exchange rate. We believe that imports and exports will be influenced by the exchange rate, but the impact of it is limited. Firstly, a change in the exchange rate is a double-edged sword. When there is a RMB devaluation, companies will benefit from exports, but the cost of imports rises at the same time. Secondly, within the global value chain which is characterized by cross-district industrial division and intra-industry trade, the exchange rate and its impact on imports and exports in one economy will quickly transfer to another economy, which will further ease the effects.
As the global economy recovers amid uncertainties in the normalization of monetary policy; to maintain the RMB exchange rate within a reasonable range will give confidence to companies and promote the stable development of foreign trade. Therefore, the government has actively expanded cross-border and investment RMB settlements in a bid to help companies to enhance their capacity to manage risks.
Uncertain and unstable factors have been growing amidst global complexities. Overall, there are many favorable opportunities for development as well as the main constraining factors in developing foreign trade. Firstly, the global economy, faced with a series of deep-seated and structural problems, is experiencing a weak recovery. Secondly, the global manufacturing industry is witnessing increasingly intense international competition.
On the one hand, thanks to their cheap labor and land, emerging countries are pushing forward medium and low-end manufacturing development, posing challenges to our traditionally strong product exports. On the other hand, many developed countries are restructuring their economy, re-industrializing and re-shoring their manufacturing sector. Thirdly, we meet at a time of rising trade protectionism. The number and value of Chinese products under trade remedy investigations has maintained at a fairly high level in recent years. These are the unstable and uncertain factors.
The United States has become the second biggest trade partner of China. According to the statistics, bilateral trade was worth 3.95 trillion yuan in 2017, up 15.2 percent year-on-year, accounting for 14.2 percent of total foreign trade. China's exports to the United States increased 14.5 percent to reach 2.91 trillion yuan while imports surged 17.3 percent to 1.01 trillion yuan. The trade surplus with the United States rose 13 percent to 1.87 trillion yuan. Last year, Sino-U.S. trade realized rapid growth. China and the United States., as two of the world's leading economies, are expected to deepen their economic and trade cooperation, to achieve mutual benefits and to forge ahead with building a prosperous global economy. Thank you.
China News Service:
Do you think China's foreign trade saw improved quality and efficiency while maintaining rapid growth in 2017? What are your expectations for its development in 2018?
Huang Songping:
China's foreign trade achieved rapid growth in 2017, up 14.2 percent year-on-year with enhanced quality and efficiency.
First, the capacity for independent development has been enhanced. In 2017, the import and export of general trade with long industrial chains and high added value rose by 16.8 percent year-on-year, 2.6 percentage points higher than the nation's aggregate growth, with its share in the nation's total foreign trade up 1.3 percentage points.
Second, China's trading partners were more diversified. In 2017, the country's trade with traditional markets, including Europe, the USA and Japan, jumped by 14.8 percent, and trade with emerging markets, namely Latin America and Africa, surged by 22 percent and 17.3 percent, respectively.
Third, market entities performed actively. The import and export for all types of enterprises realized double-digit growth in 2017. The imports and exports of private enterprises rose by 15.3 percent, making the greatest contribution to the growth of China's foreign trade with a ratio of 41.2 percent. The internal forces driving foreign trade development were strengthened.
Fourth, there was a more balanced regional development in 2017. Imports and exports of the central and western regions in China rose by 21 percent year-on-year, 6.8 percentage points higher than the nation's aggregate growth, with its share in the nation's total foreign trade up 0.8 percentage point.
Fifth, the structure of imported and exported products was optimized. Exports of certain electromechanical products with high added value and products of the equipment manufacturing industry maintained a sound growth momentum in 2017. For instance, exports of automobiles, computers and medical appliances and instruments rose by 27.2 percent, 16.6 percent and 10.3 percent, respectively. This indicates that Chinese enterprises have gradually strengthened their capacity in independent innovation and fostered new advantages for international competitiveness. From the perspective of imports, the import of energy-and-resource-based products kept a steady growth. For example, the import of crude oil, iron ore and natural gas respectively increased by 10.1 percent, 5 percent and 26.9 percent. The import of certain important equipment, key parts and components, and high-quality consumer goods saw relatively fast growth, with increases of 17.3 percent, 17.6 percent, 13.8 percent and 19.6 percent for imports of integrated circuit products, engines, computer numerical control machine tools, and aquatic and marine products. Generally speaking, China achieved positive progress in steadfastly advancing supply-side structural reform, shifting the growth model and adjusting structure of its foreign trade. The country's foreign trade is in a transition from a phase of rapid growth to a stage of high-quality development.
As for foreign trade development in 2018, it is expected, in general, that the world economy will continue its recovery and that China's economy will maintain a steady and sound performance, which is comparatively favorable for its foreign trade. However, it is difficult to maintain a double-digit growth in foreign trade this year due to the influences from a number of factors, such as uncertainties in the international environment and the large base figure in 2017. China's foreign trade is expected to maintain growth this year with further improved quality and efficiency.
Sydney Morning Herald:
China is an important trading partner of Australia. Do you have any updated figures on China's trade with Australia? Natural gas imports have grown substantially. What's the reason for this? Is it because of the shift in heating means from coal to gas?
Huang Songping:
Thank you for the question. Trade between China and Australia grew rapidly last year, as the bilateral free trade agreement continued to deliver benefits. In 2017, Our imports from and exports to Australia reached 923.41 billion yuan, year-on-year growth of 29.1 percent, and 14.9 percentage points higher than the growth rate of our total imports and exports.
Specifically, exports to Australia totaled 280.56 billion yuan, an annual growth rate of 13.9 percent; imports reached 642.85 billion yuan, growing 37.2 percent. Our trade deficit with Australia was 362.29 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 63 percent.
China is Australia's biggest export market. We account for over 30 percent of total Australian exports. I hope the current momentum in bilateral trade can be maintained.
Regarding the import of natural gas, unfortunately I don't have the specific figures right now. As far as I know, there was indeed a big rise last year, and Australia was one of the major suppliers. There were many reasons for this, such as the growing domestic demand, stricter environmental protection rules, and the replacement of coal with natural gas for heating.
Thank you.
Die Welt:
I would like to know a little bit more why China is importing such an enormous amount of crude oil and iron ore. Considering China's domestic economic situation, does that mean the imports play a role in helping China enhance the quality and efficiency of its economic development?,. We know that the import prices have recently been nearly 30 percent higher, so that's not quite understandable. I have another question, that is, how reliable is the Customs data, since recently we have come across many reports questioning the authenticity of statistics released by some Chinese provincial-level regions, such as Liaoning and Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region. Many countries have such a doubt, as they think trade deficits they know are much higher than the Chinese figures. Thank you.
Huang Songping:
Thanks for your questions. The first one is about why China has been importing such large quantities of iron ore, crude oil and other bulk commodities. The reason is that China is a big manufacturing country where a substantial supply of raw materials and energy products are required. Last year, the economy achieved a stable and slightly upward curve, which fueled domestic demand and drove up the imports of bulk commodities. Besides, prices surged with the increase in demand as a result of the recovery of the global economy, not to mention the financial nature of the bulk commodities themselves. So, there are multiple reasons for the surge in bulk commodities imports and prices. This is the answer to your first question.
The second question is about the accuracy of the data released by Chinese Customs. Last year, China's foreign trade achieved double-digit growth, which brought to an end two straight years of negative growth. It should be attributed to the aforementioned global economic recovery, the increase of market demand, the surging prices of bulk commodities, the effects of policies adopted for the sustainable growth of foreign trade and the comparatively low base level, along with other positive factors. All of them contributed to the fast growth.
Take cross-border containers as an example. In 2017, Chinese customs inspected containers 109 million times, up 5.9 percent year on year, as well as 680 million tons of commodities inside the containers, a year-on-year increase of 6.1 percent. These also confirm the recovering, stable and sound momentum of China's foreign trade.
As to the specifics of your second question about the accuracy of the Customs' data, I would like to give you a concise answer. Imports and exports are essential to the compiling of China's macro-economic statistics. We have always attached great importance to the quality of these statistics and taken authenticity and accuracy as the supreme goal in our statistical work. We form statistics on the basis of data including customs declarations and follow international rules and criteria to incorporate the data of the commodities causing a rise or decrease of domestic inventories into the import and export trade statistics. Data analysis approaches are applied to screen abnormal numbers and verifications and investigations are implemented in companies whose reports arouse skepticism.
In late 2016, a total of 27 ministerial-level administration entities, including the National Development and Reform Commission, People's Bank of China and National Bureau of Statistics, jointly signed the "Memorandum of Understanding on Cooperation in Implementing Joint Punishment on Seriously Dishonest Enterprises and Individuals in Statistics Reporting". According to the document, enterprises that fabricate import and export data in their report to the customs and cause distortions of statistics will face punishment jointly carried out by these institutions to ensure authenticity of statistics.
Just now, you said that there were differences in the statistics provided by China and other countries regarding China's foreign trade.
Currently, most countries adopt the statistical standards and methods recommended by the United Nations Statistics Division. China's Customs use the same standards and methods, too. However, there are still many factors that may lead to differences in the result.
For example, some countries use the FOB price to calculate export volume and CIF price to calculate the import volume. The choice of which price to use may lead to different results. Entrepot trade is another factor that may cause differences. For example, Chinese goods may be re-exported via the Netherlands to a third country. China regards the Netherlands as the export destination and calculates the export volume accordingly. So, the figure we work out may be different from the figure calculated by the third country. Besides, the choice of an exchange rate and even the time difference may lead to different results.
The Rules on Implementation of Statistics Law of China was enacted on May 28, 2017. In the future, we will continue to work in accordance with the law to ensure the truthfulness and accuracy of the statistics regarding imports and exports.
Thank you.
NHK:
Could you please provide details on Sino-DPRK trade in 2017?
Huang Songping:
Thanks for your question. I will brief you on the latest trade data between China and the DPRK. According to the figures from China's General Administration of Customs, the Sino-DPRK trade volume reached US$5.06 billion in 2017, a year-on-year drop of 10.5 percent. Specifically, exports were US$3.34 billion, up 8.3 percent; while imports stood at US$1.72 billion, down 33 percent. The trade surplus was US$1.62 billion, increasing by a factor of 2.2. In December, the Sino-DPRK trade volume was US$310 million, down 50.6 percent. Specifically, exports were US$260 million, down 23.4 percent; and imports were US$54.342 million, down 81.6 percent. Thank you.
Xi Yanchun:
This is the end of today's press conference. Thank you, Mr. Huang. Thank you everyone.
