SCIO briefing on China's economic performance in Aug.

Speaker:
Liu Aihua, spokesperson of the National Bureau of Statistics

Chairperson:
Xi Yanchun, vice director-general of the Press Bureau, State Council Information Office

Date:
Sept. 14, 2017

Xi Yanchun:

Ladies and gentlemen, good morning. Welcome to this press conference. Today, we are delighted to invite Ms. Liu Aihua, spokesperson of the National Bureau of Statistics, to introduce and analyze China's economic performance in August. She will also answer some of your questions.Now, let's welcome Ms. Liu to deliver her briefing.

Liu Aihua:

Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, good morning. As usual, before answering your questions, I will make a brief introduction.

In August, China's economic performance was stable with good momentum for growth.

The overall situation was sound. Structural adjustment continued to go deeper. New emergent driving forces continued to gain strength. Economic performance improved steadily in both quality and returns.

First, industrial production was stable, corporate profits continued to improve.

In August, the total added value of industrial enterprises above designated size increased by 6.0 percent year-on-year, down 0.4 percentage points from the previous month; and grew 0.46 percent faster than July, representing a gain of 0.05 percentage points.

An analysis by types of ownership shows State holding enterprises saw a gain of 7.8 percent; collective enterprises were down 2.1 percent; share-holding enterprises achieved a 5.8 percent increase; and those funded by foreign investors or investors from Hong Kong, Macao and Taiwan rose 7.9 percent.

The added value of the mining industry fell 3.4 percent year-on-year; manufacturing rose 6.9 percent, a gain of 0.2 percentage points from the previous month; and that of the production and supply of electricity, heat, gas and water rose 8.7 percent. The production and sales rate of industrial enterprises above designated size reached 98.5 percent. From January to August, the total added value of industrial enterprises above designated size increased by 6.7 percent year-on-year. In August, The Purchasing Manager's Index (PMI) stood at 51.7 percent, a gain of 0.3 percentage points from the previous month. This represented 13 consecutive months of improvement.

From January to July, industrial enterprises above designated size achieved a total profit of 4.2481 trillion yuan, an increase of 21.2 percent year-on-year. The main business income profit margin reached 6.09 percent, up 0.41 percentage points year-on-year.

Second, the service sector grew at a relatively fast pace, with the business activity index extremely active.

In August, the service sector production index increased by 8.3 percent year-on-year, the growth rate being unchanged from the previous month; however, it was 0.9 percentage point higher than the same period last year. Information transmission, software and information technology services, rental and business services maintained double-digit growth.

From January to August, the service sector production index increased by 8.3 percent year-on-year, 0.2 percentage point higher than the same period last year. From January to July, the operating income of service enterprises above designated size grew by 13.4 percent year-on-year, up by 0.2 percentage points from the first half of the year. The operating profit of service enterprises above designated size grew by 22.6 percent year-on-year, up by 6.6 percentage points from the first half of the year.

In August, the business activity index for services stood at 52.6 percent, showing a continued good performance. Specifically, the business activity index for sectors such as air transport, postal services, telecommunications, radio and television and satellite transmission, and the Internet and software information technology services stayed within the relatively good range of over 60.0 percent. From the market demand perspective, the new orders index of the service sector was 50.3 percent, 0.1 percentage points higher than the previous month, and maintaining an advance for the fourth consecutive month.

Third, the growth of fixed-asset investment slowed down with the investment structure becoming optimized.

In the period January-August, total fixed-asset investment (excluding rural households) was 39.42 trillion yuan, up 7.8 percent year-on-year. However, the growth rate was 0.5 percentage point lower than at the end of July. This included investment of State-owned capital of 14.38 trillion yuan and private investment of 23.91 trillion yuan, with year-on-year increases of 11.2 percent and 6.4 percent respectively. Private investment accounted for 60.7 percent of the total. Primary industry investment was 1.27 trillion yuan, up 12.2 percent from the same period last year; secondary industry investment was 14.82 trillion yuan, up 3.2 percent. This included investment in manufacturing of 12.17 trillion yuan, an increase of 4.5 percent. Investment in the tertiary industry was 23.32 trillion yuan, up 10.6 percent. Infrastructure investment totaled 8.47 trillion yuan, up 19.8 percent; hi-tech manufacturing investment increased by 19.5 percent, 11.7 percentage points higher than the growth rate of total investment. Investment in manufacturing industries with extensive energy consumption declined by 1.6 percent. A total of 39.62 trillion yuan of fixed-asset investment was available, up 2.8 percent and 1.3 percentage points from the end of July. The planned total investment in new projects was 33.01 trillion yuan, up 2.2 percent and 0.3 percentage point higher than at the end of July. Total fixed-asset investment (excluding rural households) increased by 0.57 percent month-on-month.

Fourth, investment in real estate grew in a stable way, and commodity housing for sale continued to decline.

In the period, January-August, the total investment in real estate was 6.95 trillion yuan, up 7.9 percent year-on-year. Investment in residential housing increased by 10.1 percent. Construction began on housing totaling 1.15 billion square meters, up 7.6 percent, with the area of residential housing up 11.6 percent. A total of 985.39-million square meters of commodity housing was sold, up 12.7 percent, with the area of residential housing up 10.3 percent. The sales of commodity housing reached 7.8 trillion yuan, up 17.2 percent, with the sale of residential housing up 14.2 percent. Property developers bought land totaling 142.29 million square meters, up 10.1 percent. By the end of August, the commodity housing for sale remained at 623.52 million square meters, 11.44 million square meters less than a month earlier. In the period from January to August, the capital available for property developers was 9.98 trillion yuan, up 9 percent.

Fifth, market sales continued to expand and online retailing showed good momentum.

In August, total retail sales of consumer goods reached 3.03 trillion yuan, up 10.1 percent year-on-year, 0.3 percentage point lower than the July figure, up 0.76 percent month-on-month, 0.05 percentage point higher than July. Sales of consumer goods in cities reached 2.62 trillion yuan, up 9.9 percent, while sales in rural areas reached 416.1 billion yuan, up 11.5 percent. The catering sector reported revenue of 336 billion yuan, up 10.7 percent; retailing 2.7 trillion yuan, up 10.1 percent, with retail sales of enterprises above designated size reaching 1.24 trillion yuan, up 7.5 percent. Sales of commodities regarding consumption upgrading saw fast growth, with the growth of sales of sports and entertaining commodities up 14.9 percent and that of communications equipment up 12.2 percent. In the period from January to August, total retail sales of consumer goods achieved stable growth of 10.4 percent.

In the period from January to August, online retail sales reached 4.25 trillion yuan, up 34.3 percent year-on-year, 0.6 percentage point higher than at the end of July. Online retail sales of tangible goods reached 3.21 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 29.2 percent, accounting for 13.8 percent of total retail sales of consumer goods, which was 2.2 percentage points higher than the same period of last year; online retail sales of Intangible goods reached 1.04 trillion yuan, up 52.9 percent.

Six, mild rise in CPI; greater rise in PPI.

In August, the consumer price index (CPI) rose 1.8 percent year on year, 0.4 percentage point higher than in July. The breakdown is as follows: 0.4 percent for food, tobacco and alcohol, 1.3 percent for garments, 2.7 percent for housing, 1.3 percent for daily-use goods and services, 0.7 percent for transportation and communications, 2.5 percent for education, culture and entertainment, 5.9 percent for healthcare and 1.4 percent for other goods and services. Within the "food, tobacco and alcohol" category, the prices of grain and fresh vegetables rose by 1.6 percent and 9.7 percent respectively, and the price of pork dropped by 13.4 percent. The month-on-month rise for CPI was 0.4 percent. For January-August, CPI rose 1.5 percent year on year.

In August, the producer price index (PPI) rose 6.3 percent year on year, 0.8 percentage point higher than the growth in July, and rose 0.9 percent month on month. The rise for January to August was 6.4 percent year on year. In August, the producer purchasing price index jumped 7.7 percent year on year and 0.8 percent month on month. For January-August, the jump was 8.4 percent year on year.

Seven, rapid growth in imports and exports; higher proportion of general trade in imports and exports; higher proportion of mechanical and electrical products in exports.

In August, foreign trade increased 10.1 percent year on year to 2.41 trillion yuan, of which 1.35 trillion yuan was exports, up 6.9 percent, and 1.06 trillion yuan was imports, up 14.4 percent, resulting in a trade surplus of 286.5 billion yuan. For January to August, foreign trade increased 17.1 percent year on year to 17.83 trillion yuan, of which exports were 9.85 trillion yuan, up 13 percent, and imports were 7.98 trillion yuan, up 22.5 percent. In January to August, general trade expanded by 17.9 percent year on year, increasing its share in China's total foreign trade by 0.4 percentage point from last year to 56.7 percent. Exports of mechanical and electrical products expanded 13.4 percent, increasing its share in China's total exports by 0.3 percentage point from last year to 57.1 percent.

In August, industrial enterprises above the designated size (those with an annual revenue from their main business operations of 20 million yuan or more) delivered exports worth 1.09 trillion yuan, up 8.2 percent year on year. For January to August, the figure was 8.27 trillion yuan, up 10.3 percent over last year.

Eight, progress in the supply-side structural reform; extraordinary results in transformation and upgrading.

New progress has been made in cutting overcapacity, reducing excess inventory, deleveraging, lowering costs, and strengthening areas of weakness. By the end of July, overcapacity cutting in iron and steel industry had progressed smoothly with sales and production of substandard steel products banned; overcapacity cutting in coal resulted in a combined capacity of 128 million tons, or 85 percent of the annual target, eliminated. The area of commodity housing for sale at the end of August declined 12 percent year on year, 1 percentage point higher than a month earlier.

The debt-to-asset ratio and production cost of industrial enterprises continued to fall. At the end of July, the ratio was 55.8 percent for industrial enterprises above the designated size, down by 0.7 percentage point compared with the same period last year. The cost for each 100 yuan earned from main business operations was 85.72 yuan for January to July, 0.04 yuan less than the corresponding period last year. Investment in areas of weakness grew rapidly. In January to August, investment in environmental protection, public facility management, road transportation, water conservancy management and agriculture grew 28.2, 24.3, 24.1, 17.6 and 16.1 percent respectively.

New achievement was scored in adjusting the industrial structure and expanding new growth drivers. Technology-intensive and low-resource-consuming new industries and products that are in keeping with the trend of transformation and upgrading grew rapidly. In August, the high-tech industry and equipment manufacturing industry expanded 12.9 percent and 11.6 percent year on year in terms of value added. The expansions were 0.8 and 0.9 percentage point higher respectively than in July and 6.9 and 5.6 percentage points higher than those by industrial enterprises above the designated size.

In January to August, output of industrial robots, new-energy cars and SUVs increased by 63, 25.4 and 17.2 percent year on year respectively. Emerging services and producer services also recorded rapid growth. In January-July, enterprises above the designated size offering emerging services of strategic importance and producer services earned 16.8 and 14.5 percent more in business revenue compared with the same period last year.

On the whole, the national economy continued to make progress and move in a positive direction while remaining stable in August. Growth was steady with structure and quality improved. But we should also be aware that there are still concerns and challenges, because the international environment continues to suffer from numerous instabilities and uncertainties, and the Chinese economy is still clearing away barriers for restructuring. Going forward, we will rally even closer around the CPC Central Committee with Comrade Xi Jinping as the core, make progress while maintaining stable performance, and use new development concepts to steer the new normal in economic development.

We will continue to focus on the supply-side structural reform, moderately expand aggregate demand, make innovation a greater growth driver, better guide expectations, seek impetus and vitality through reform and pursue development and transformation through innovation. We will strive to upgrade the economy, making it more efficient, and boost the real economy, keeping risks at bay, so as to consolidate and stabilize the foundation for development.

That's all for my introduction. Now I'm ready to take your questions. Thank you.

Xi Yanchun:

Thank you Ms. Liu for your introduction. Now, the floor is open for questions. Please identify yourself before asking your question.