China.org.cn | December 6, 2024
Shou Xiaoli:
Last question, please.
Red Star News:
The month-on-month decline in PPI narrowed significantly in October, while the year-on-year decline widened slightly. What are the reasons behind this? And how do you forecast the trend of PPI in the next stage? Thank you.
Fu Linghui:
Thank you for your questions. There is considerable interest in PPI prices. Due to the downward fluctuation of international crude oil prices and increased competition in certain domestic industries, the industrial producer prices in China decreased by 2.9% year on year in October, with the decline slightly widening compared to the previous month. Among them, industries that are more affected by international input factors saw a larger decline in prices, particularly in the energy sector. In October, prices in the oil and natural gas extraction industry dropped by 14.6%, while prices in the oil, coal and other fuel processing industries decreased by 13.9%. Both declines widened by 4.5 percentage points compared to the previous month. At the same time, technological advancements in some domestic industries are accelerating, and market competition is intensifying, which has led to a further widening of price declines. This has also had an impact on PPI to some extent. In October, the prices in the automobile manufacturing industry decreased by 3.1% year on year, with the decline widening by 0.8 percentage point compared to the previous month.
Although the year-on-year decline in prices slightly widened in October, the accelerated implementation of a raft of incremental policies has begun to show effects in expanding demand for relevant industries, leading to positive price changes in some sectors. For example, prices for steel and cement have stopped falling and started to rebound. In October, the prices in the ferrous metal smelting and rolling processing industry increased by 3.4% month on month, marking the first month-on-month rise after four consecutive months of decline. The prices in the non-metallic mineral product industry rose by 0.4% month on month, marking the first increase after three consecutive months of month-on-month declines.
Overall, due to the combined effects of the downward input of international commodity prices and domestic policies aimed at expanding demand, PPI remained broadly stable in October. In some sectors, there were even signs of prices stabilizing and starting to rebound. Next, to address the sluggish PPI trend, it is essential to actively leverage various policy measures, further expand domestic demand, and deepen supply-side structural reforms. This should include strengthening innovation-driven development, vigorously promoting capacity adjustment, and fostering a high-level dynamic balance between supply and demand. These efforts will help stabilize and rebound prices, improve business profitability, boost the confidence of enterprises, and contribute to the sustained and healthy development of the economy.
Thank you.
Shou Xiaoli:
Today's briefing is hereby concluded. Goodbye.
Translated and edited by Wang Ziteng, Chen Xinyan, Liao Jiaxin, Xiang Bin, Liu Sitong, Li Xiao, Wang Xingguang, Yuan Fang, Huang Shan, Ma Yujia, Zhou Jing, Li Huiru, Wang Yiming, Wang Qian, David Ball and Rochelle Beiersdorfer. In case of any discrepancy between the English and Chinese texts, the Chinese version is deemed to prevail.