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SCIO briefing on national economic performance in October 2024

China.org.cn | December 6, 2024

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Speaker:

Mr. Fu Linghui, spokesperson of the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) and head of the Department of Comprehensive Statistics of the NBS

Chairperson:

Ms. Shou Xiaoli, director general of the Press Bureau of the State Council Information Office (SCIO) and spokesperson of the SCIO

Date:

Nov. 15, 2024

Ladies and gentlemen, good morning. Welcome to this press conference held by the State Council Information Office (SCIO). This is a regular briefing on China's economic data. Today, we are joined by Mr. Fu Linghui, spokesperson of the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) and head of the Department of Comprehensive Statistics of the NBS. Mr. Fu will brief you on China's economic performance in October 2024 and then take your questions.

Now, I'll give the floor to Mr. Fu for his introduction.


Fu Linghui:

Friends from the media, good morning. It's my pleasure to attend today's press conference organized by the SCIO. As usual, I will start by briefing you on the main economic indicators for this October and then take your questions.

In October, economic performance maintained steady growth and major economic indicators showed a significant rebound. In October, under the strong leadership of the Central Committee of the Communist Party of China (CPC) with Comrade Xi Jinping at its core, all regions and departments strictly implemented the decisions and arrangements of the CPC Central Committee and the State Council, adhered to the general principle of pursuing progress while ensuring stability, and fully and faithfully applied the new development philosophy on all fronts. With the synergy created by the existing policies and incremental policies unfolding, major economic indicators of consumption, services and imports and exports recovered markedly, employment and prices were basically stable, social expectations continued to improve, high-quality development witnessed solid progress, and positive factors were accumulated. The national economy registered steady progress and recovery.

First, industrial production increased steadily and equipment manufacturing and high-tech manufacturing grew quickly.

In October, the total value added of industrial enterprises above designated size grew by 5.3% year on year, 0.1 percentage point lower than that of September, or up by 0.41% month on month. In terms of sectors, the value added of mining went up by 4.6% year on year, that of manufacturing was up by 5.4%, and that of the production and supply of electricity, thermal power, gas and water was up by 5.4%. The value added of equipment manufacturing went up by 6.6% year on year, and that of high-tech manufacturing was up by 9.4%, which were 1.3 percentage points and 4.1 percentage points faster than the total value added of industrial enterprises above designated size. In terms of ownership, the value added of state holding enterprises went up by 3.8% year on year; that of share-holding enterprises was up by 5.9%; that of enterprises funded by foreign investors or investors from Hong Kong, Macao and Taiwan was up by 2.9%; and that of private enterprises was up by 4.8%. In terms of products, the production of new-energy vehicles, industrial robots and integrated circuits grew by 48.6%, 33.4% and 11.8%, respectively. In the first 10 months, the total value added of industrial enterprises above designated size grew by 5.8% year on year, the same as that in the first nine months. In October, the Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index was 50.1%, 0.3 percentage point higher than that of September; and the Production and Operation Expectation Index was 54.0%, up by 2.0 percentage points. In the first nine months, the total profits of industrial enterprises above designated size were 5,228.2 billion yuan, down by 3.5% year on year.

Second, the service sector accelerated notably and the modern services sector developed well.

In October, the Index of Services Production grew by 6.3% year on year, 1.2 percentage points higher than that of September. Specifically, that of financial intermediation grew by 10.2%, that of information transmission, software and information technology services was up by 9.5% and that of leasing and business services was up by 8.8% year on year, which were 3.9 percentage points, 3.2 percentage points and 2.5 percentage points faster than the Index of Services Production, respectively. In the first 10 months, the Index of Services Production increased by 5.0% year on year, which was 0.1 percentage point faster than that of the first nine months. In the first nine months, the business revenue of service enterprises above designated size grew by 7.2% year on year. In October, the Business Activity Index for Services was 50.1%, 0.2 percentage point higher than that of September. The Business Activity Expectation Index for Services was 56.2%, up by 1.6 percentage points. Specifically, the Business Activity Index for railway transportation, water transportation, air transportation, postal services, capital market services, ecological protection and public facilities management stayed within the high expansion range of 55.0% and above.

Third, market sales recovered rapidly and sales of new goods under the trade-in program accelerated.

In October, the total retail sales of consumer goods was 4,539.6 billion yuan, up by 4.8% year on year, 1.6 percentage points faster than that of September; or up by 0.41% month on month. In terms of different areas, the retail sales of consumer goods in urban areas were 3,925.5 billion yuan, up by 4.7% year on year; and in rural areas were 614.1 billion yuan, up by 4.9%. Grouped by types of consumption, the retail sales of goods were 4,044.4 billion yuan, up by 5.0%; and the income of catering was 495.2 billion yuan, up by 3.2%. Upgraded goods sold well. The retail sales of cosmetics and of sports and recreational items by enterprises above designated size grew by 40.1% and 26.7%, respectively. Driven by the consumer goods trade-in programs, the retail sales of household appliances and audio-video equipment, cultural and office supplies, furniture, and automobiles by enterprises above designated size went up by 39.2%, 18.0%, 7.4% and 3.7% respectively, which were 18.7 percentage points, 8.0 percentage points, 7.0 percentage points and 3.3 percentage points higher than that of September, respectively. In the first 10 months, the total retail sales of consumer goods were 39,896.0 billion yuan, up by 3.5% year on year, 0.2 percentage point faster than that of the first nine months. Online retail sales were 12,363.2 billion yuan, up by 8.8% year on year. Specifically, the online retail sales of physical goods were 10,333.0 billion yuan, up by 8.3%, accounting for 25.9% of the total retail sales of consumer goods. In the first 10 months, the retail sales of services grew by 6.5% year on year.

Fourth, investment in fixed assets increased steadily and investment in high-tech industries grew quickly.

In the first 10 months, investment in fixed assets (excluding rural households) reached 42,322.2 billion yuan, up by 3.4% year on year, which was the same as that of the first nine months. Investment in fixed assets was up by 7.6% with investment in real estate development deducted. Specifically, investment in infrastructure grew by 4.3% year on year, that in manufacturing grew by 9.3%, and that in real estate development declined by 10.3%. The floor space of newly-built commercial buildings sold was 779.30 million square meters, down by 15.8% year on year, 1.3 percentage points lower compared with that of the first nine months; the total sales of newly-built commercial buildings were 7,685.5 billion yuan, down by 20.9%, 1.8 percentage points lower. By industry, investment in the primary industry went up by 2.5% year on year, that in the secondary industry up by 12.2%, and that in the tertiary industry down by 0.9%. Private investment declined by 0.3% year on year, and increased by 6.3% with investment in real estate development deducted. Investment in high-tech industries grew by 9.3% year on year, of which investment in high-tech manufacturing and high-tech services grew by 8.8% and 10.6%, respectively. In terms of high-tech manufacturing, investment in manufacturing of aerospace vehicle and equipment and in manufacturing of electronic and communication equipment grew by 34.5% and 9.4%, respectively. In terms of high-tech services, investment in professional technical services and in e-commerce services grew by 32.0% and 16.3%, respectively. In October, investment in fixed assets (excluding rural households) increased by 0.16% month on month.

Fifth, imports and exports of goods grew quickly and trade structure continued to improve.

In October, the total value of imports and exports of goods was 3,700.7 billion yuan, up by 4.6% year on year, 3.9 percentage points faster than that of September. The value of exports was 2,189.9 billion yuan, up by 11.2%, and the value of imports was 1,510.8 billion yuan, down by 3.7%. In the first 10 months, the total value of imports and exports of goods was 36,021.9 billion yuan, up by 5.2% year on year. The value of exports was 20,802.8 billion yuan, up by 6.7%, and the value of imports was 15,219.1 billion yuan, up by 3.2%. In the first 10 months, the imports and exports in general trade went up by 3.9%, accounting for 64.1% of the total value of imports and exports. Imports and exports by private enterprises went up by 9.3%, accounting for 55.1% of the total value of imports and exports, 2.1 percentage points higher than that of the same period last year. Exports of mechanical and electrical products went up by 8.5%, accounting for 59.4% of the total value of exports.

Sixth, employment was generally stable and the surveyed urban unemployment rate declined.

In the first 10 months, the surveyed urban unemployment rate averaged 5.1%, which was 0.2 percentage point lower than that of the same period last year. In October, the surveyed urban unemployment rate was 5.0%, which was 0.1 percentage point lower than that of September. The surveyed unemployment rate of population with local household registration was 5.1% and that of population with non-local household registration was 4.8%, among which, the rate of the population with non-local agricultural household registration was 4.7%. The surveyed urban unemployment rate in 31 major cities was 5.0%, which was 0.1 percentage point lower than that of September. The employees of enterprises worked an average of 48.6 hours per week.

Seventh, consumer prices increased slightly and producer prices for industrial products declined year on year.

In October, the consumer price index (CPI) went up by 0.3% year on year, 0.1 percentage point lower than that of September; or down by 0.3% month on month. Grouped by commodity categories, prices for food, tobacco and alcohol went up by 2.0% year on year; clothing was up by 1.1%; housing was down by 0.1%; articles and services for daily use was up by 0.1%; transportation and communication was down by 4.8%; education, culture and entertainment was up by 0.8%; medical services and health care was up by 1.1%; and other articles and services was up by 4.7%. Among the prices for food, tobacco and alcohol, the price of grain went down by 0.7%, fresh fruits was up by 4.7%, pork was up by 14.2% and fresh vegetables was up by 21.6%. The core CPI excluding the prices of food and energy went up by 0.2% year on year, 0.1 percentage point higher than that of September. In the first 10 months, the CPI went up by 0.3% year on year.

In October, the producer prices for industrial products went down by 2.9% year on year, or down by 0.1% month on month, and the purchasing prices for industrial producers went down by 2.7% year on year, or down by 0.3% month on month. In the first 10 months, the producer prices and the purchasing prices for industrial products both dropped by 2.1% compared with the same period last year.

Generally speaking, with the accelerated implementation of the existing policies and the introduction of a raft of incremental policies in October, the national economy showed stable growth trend with major indicators recovering notably and positive factors accumulated. However, we should be aware that the external environment is increasingly complicated and severe, effective domestic demand is still weak and the foundation for continuous economic recovery needs to be strengthened. At the next stage, we must follow the guidance of Xi Jinping Thought on Socialism with Chinese Characteristics for a New Era, fully implement the guiding principles of the 20th CPC National Congress and the second and third plenary sessions of the 20th CPC Central Committee, adhere to the principle of pursuing progress while ensuring stability, and fully and faithfully apply the new development philosophy on all fronts. We must take solid steps to advance high-quality development, accelerate efforts to create a new pattern of development, and redouble efforts to implement the raft of incremental policies, so as to consolidate and enhance the momentum for economic recovery and growth and achieve the annual economic and social development targets. Thank you.

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