Read in Chinese

Speakers: 

Ms. Li Hongyan, deputy administrator of the State Administration of Foreign Exchange (SAFE)

Mr. Jia Ning, director general of the Balance of Payments Department of SAFE

Chairperson:

Ms. Xing Huina, deputy director general of the Press Bureau of the State Council Information Office (SCIO) and spokesperson of the SCIO

Date:

Oct. 22, 2024

Xing Huina:

Ladies and gentlemen, good morning. Welcome to this press conference held by the State Council Information Office (SCIO) as part of the series "Promoting High-Quality Development." Today, we have invited Ms. Li Hongyan, deputy administrator of the State Administration of Foreign Exchange (SAFE), to brief you on foreign exchangereceipts and payments data for the first three quarters of 2024 and answer your questions. Also with us today is Mr. Jia Ning, director general of the Balance of Payments Department of SAFE.

Now, I'll give the floor to Ms. Li for her introduction.

Li Hongyan:

Good morning, everyone. Despite today's poor weather, thank you all for attending this press conference. I'll begin by briefing you on China's forex receipts and payments for the first three quarters of 2024, then take your questions.

Since 2024, the global economic and financial situation has been complex and volatile, with rising geopolitical risks. China has adhered to the general principle of pursuing progress while ensuring stability, intensified macro regulation, and maintained overall stability with steady progress in the national economy. Cross-border capital flows have trended toward balance, and the forex market has demonstrated strong resilience. Market expectations and transactions have remained generally rational and orderly. The yuan exchange rate has maintained basic stability at a reasonable, balanced level.

From the perspective of cross-border receipts and payments by non-banking sectors, in the first three quarters of 2024, cross-border receipts and payments by non-banking sectors amounted to $5.2594 trillion and $5.2566 trillion, respectively, resulting in a $2.8 billion surplus when valued in U.S. dollars. When valued in yuan, cross-border receipts by non-banking sectors totaled 37.39 trillion yuan, and payments 37.37 trillion yuan, yielding a surplus of 18.7 billion yuan. In terms of data on foreign exchange settlement and sales by banks, let me explain that settlement refers to the selling of foreign exchange to banks by enterprises, individuals, and other entities, while sales refer to the buying of foreign exchange from banks by these entities. In dollar terms, the first three quarters saw forex settlements of $1.6762 trillion and sales of $1.7975 trillion, resulting in a $121.3 billion deficit. In yuan terms, settlements reached 11.91 trillion yuan and sales totaled 12.78 trillion yuan, producing an 864.6 billion yuan deficit.

In the first three quarters of 2024, China's forex receipts and payments showed the following main characteristics:

First, cross-border capital flows returned to net inflows. Overall, cross-border receipts and payments by non-banking sectors showed a slight surplus in the first three quarters, with a modest surplus in the first quarter, shifting to a deficit in the second quarter, and returning to surplus in the third quarter. In terms of main components, goods trade maintained net inflows, foreign investment into China gradually improved, and outbound investment by domestic entities remained orderly.

Second, forex settlement and sales by banks moved toward basic balance. In the first three quarters, overall forex settlement and sales by banks showed a deficit, primarily due to an expanded deficit in the second quarter. However, it returned to equilibrium in the third quarter, with a surplus emerging in September, characterized by increased settlements and stable sales.

Third, the forex settlement rate has risen steadily while the sales rate has shown a moderate decline, with enterprises maintaining rational behavior in foreign exchange settlements and sales. In the first three quarters, the settlement rate for forex receipts, which measures settlement willingness, was 62.1%, while the sales rate for forex payments, which measures purchase willingness, was 68.9%. From August to September, the settlement rate reached 66.4%, up 5.7 percentage points from the first seven months, while the sales rate was 66.7%, down 2.8 percentage points from the same period. Domestic entities maintained stable exchange rate expectations, and forex transactions remained rational and orderly.

Fourth, forex transactions remained relatively active. In the first three quarters, total transaction volume in the domestic yuan forex market reached $30.27 trillion, up 10.1% year on year. Of this, spot and derivatives transactions amounted to $10.18 trillion and $20.09 trillion, respectively, with derivatives accounting for 66.4% of the market. This proportion increased by 3.7 percentage points compared to the same period of 2023.

Let me mention that in August this year, SAFE published the guidelines on exchange rate risk management for enterprises on its official website. We've brought copies of these guidelines here today for media representatives to take. The guidelines include new market practices and corporate case studies, as well as examples of accounting applications for corporate hedging. We hope you can help us promote these guidelines.

Fifth, foreign exchange reserves have remained stable. Since the beginning of the year, non-dollar currencies have experienced both depreciation and appreciation against the U.S. dollar. Given the rise in global asset prices, and as a result of non-transaction factors such as exchange rate translation and asset valuation effects, China's foreign exchange reserves have steadily increased. At the end of September, the balance of foreign exchange reserves stood at $3.3164 trillion, an increase of $78.4 billion from the end of 2023. 

Going forward, SAFE will thoroughly implement the guiding principles from the third plenary session of the 20th CPC Central Committee as well as the arrangements and requirements made at the meeting of the Political Bureau of the CPC Central Committee held on Sept. 26. We will pay more attention to system integration, prioritize key areas and put our focus toward solid reform results. We'll unwaveringly follow the path of financial development with Chinese characteristics, and make solid and effective efforts to promote reforms and prevent risks in the foreign exchange market. By doing so, we seek to step up support for the real economy and promote sustained economic recovery and growth.

The aforementioned is major statistics with China's foreign exchange receipts and payments in the first three quarters of 2024. We're now open to your questions regarding China's foreign exchange receipts and payments. 

Thank you.

Xing Huina:

Now the floor is open for questions. Please identify the news outlet you work for before asking your question.

Yicai:

Since the beginning of this year, overseas investors have continued to increase their net holdings of Chinese bonds. In addition, the recent domestic stock market rise has also attracted more foreign investment into domestic equities. What is SAFE's outlook toward future foreign capital allocation into renminbi assets? Thank you.

Li Hongyan:

Thank you for your question. China has continuously and steadily opened up its financial market, and foreign investment in China has always attracted attention. I'd like to share some updates on the current situation. Recently, foreign investment in RMB assets has witnessed a positive trajectory. The comprehensive yield of RMB bonds has remained robust this year, encouraging foreign investors to increase their holdings on RMB bonds. The total holdings of onshore RMB bonds by foreign investors have surpassed $640 billion so far, marking a historic high. In terms of the existing investment structure, central banks and commercial banks from abroad, known for their stable investment style, are the primary investors and their investment portfolio is weighted towards medium and long-term bonds, such as treasury bonds and bonds issued by policy-oriented banks, which contributes to a higher level of investment stability. Moreover, driven by the rise in domestic equities, foreign investors have been increasing their net purchases of domestic stocks since late September. This indicates foreign investors' enhanced appetite for RMB-dominated assets. At present, foreign investments in domestic capital markets are still in a nascent stage, with holdings of RMB assets accounting for 3% to 4% of the domestic stock and bond markets. There is room for further increase given a multitude of favorable factors.

First, the fundamentals of China's economy are stable and improving, which provides a favorable macro-environment. Since the beginning of this year, China has been promoting its high-quality economic development in an orderly manner. As a number of incremental policies take effect one after another, China's economy will continue to consolidate this long-term positive trend. 

Second, China's improved high-level opening-up has provided a favorable policy environment. In recent years, China has steadily opened its financial market to global investors, providing a diverse range of investment channels for foreign investors. Programs such as the Shanghai-Hong Kong Stock Connect, Shenzhen-Hong Kong Stock Connect, the Bond Connect program and the China Interbank Bond Market (CIBM) have provided diversified investment channels for foreign investors. The third plenary session of the 20th CPC Central Committee made important arrangements with promoting high-level opening-up in the financial sector. As relevant policies continue to take effect, the domestic capital market is expected to be more attractive to foreign investors. 

Third, renminbi assets can effectively achieve risk diversification through diversified asset allocation measures, offering sound value of investment. China has established a comparatively complete and in-depth financial market system. The size of the country's bond and stock markets rank second worldwide. The renminbi maintains a stable value, boasts a variety of asset categories and demonstrates relatively independent yield performance on a global scale. This is conducive for global investors to diversify their asset allocation and achieve risk diversification. In the meantime, the share of renminbi used in global cross-border transactions continues to rise steadily and renminbi's international influence is gradually strengthening, making it a vital option for global investors seeking diversified asset allocation.

Overall, holdings of renminbi assets by foreign capital help to diversify the participants in the domestic market, enhance market liquidity and promote a more active and international development of the domestic capital market. SAFE will continue to enhance investment facilitation, foster a favorable investment environment, promote high-quality financial opening-up and proactively support foreign investors' participation in the domestic capital market. Thank you.

21st Century Business Herald:

China's external debt witnessed an overall increase in the first half of 2024. How does SAFE view this change with external debt? Thank you.

Li Hongyan:

Thank you. Mr. Jia will take this question.

Jia Ning:

Thank you for your question. The external debt of a country is an issue of great interest in both theory and practice. Based on the way debt is formed, China's external debt can be categorized into two types. The first type is external debt that is acquired by enterprises and banks through financing activities overseas. This is an objective consequence of fully utilizing domestic and international markets and resources, and is directly related to the development of cross-border trade and investment. The second type refers to the external debt accumulated through foreign capital's purchase of domestic bonds, which reflects global investors' demand for allocating renminbi assets. In recent years, as the renminbi becomes increasingly attractive to foreign investors, the second type of external debt has become the primary channel for the growth of the country's external debt.

In the first half of the year, China's external debt increased steadily. As of the end of June, the country's outstanding external debt totaled $2.54 trillion, an increase of $97.1 billion compared to the end of 2023, up 4%. For starters, China's economy has maintained steady growth and the comprehensive yield rate of renminbi bonds has also risen. Thus, foreign capitals have been steadily allocating renminbi bonds, with the net increase in holdings hitting a record high in the first half of the year and driving an increase of bond-related external debt of nearly $90 billion. This has been the primary driver for the increase in external debt. In addition, as expectations for a Federal Reserve interest rate cut rise, domestic enterprises and banks have shown a slower pace with repaying external debts. Financing-related external debt, such as deposits, loans and trade credit, has started to rebound, increasing by over $8 billion in the first half of the year. Based on preliminary statistics, the scale of external debt in the third quarter remains stable overall.

China's external debt generally is moderate in scale and relatively low-risk in terms of repayment. First, the scale of external debt is basically compatible with the country's actual economic growth. In recent years, despite the sharp U-turn in the Fed's monetary policy and shifts in external financial conditions, China's external debt has remained generally stable, with the external debt-to-GDP ratio fluctuating mildly between 14-16%. Enterprises' cross-border financing has also effectively supported the growth of the real economy. Second, the risk of external debt repayment remains controllable. Four indicators – the liability ratio, the debt servicing ratio, the debt ratio, and the ratio of short-term external debt to foreign exchange reserves – are all within the internationally recognized thresholds. Third, the structure of China's external debt continues to improve. As of the end of June 2024, the proportion of renminbi external debt and middle- and long-term external debt were 49% and 44%, respectively, representing an increase of 13 and 3 percentage points compared with 2019. The risks associated with external debt maturity mismatch and currency mismatch both remain controllable and have significantly decreased.

Looking ahead, China's external debt is expected to maintain steady development. As the country's economy rebounds and its financial market opens up steadily, the role of renminbi in asset allocation will continue to grow and foreign capital's investment in renminbi bonds will keep rising. At the same time, as China's foreign trade and investment potential continues to be released, and the cost of external financing decreases due to the interest rate cut of the U.S., European countries and other developed economies, enterprises and other sectors' demand for external borrowing is expected to rebound gradually.

That concludes my response. Thank you.

Market News International: 

What impact will the gradual narrowing of the China-U.S. interest rate differential (IRD) have on China's cross-border capital flows and exchange rates? Is SAFE concerned that the volatility of the yuan against U.S. dollar may cause foreign exchange losses for export enterprises? Thank you.

Li Hongyan:

The adjustment of monetary policies in major economies is a widely watched issue. We are continuously strengthening our tracking and monitoring efforts. In September this year, the Federal Reserve announced a 50-basis-point rate cut, signaling a shift from its two-year tightening policy and resulting in an adjustment to the China-U.S. interest rate differential. Looking ahead, uncertainties persist regarding the pace and trajectory of the Fed's rate cuts, with market expectations closely tracking changes in U.S. economic data. Historically, adjustments in the Fed's monetary policy have created spillover effects on global financial markets. While China's foreign exchange market has been affected, it has maintained overall stability, primarily due to support from domestic fundamentals. As China continues to pursue high-quality development and further economic opening-up, market resilience will strengthen, providing an even more solid foundation for foreign exchange market stability.

First, the continued recovery and improvement of China's economy helps strengthen the internal foundation for stability in the domestic foreign exchange market. Since the beginning of this year, the economy has maintained overall stability. Recently released GDP data for the first three quarters showed 4.8% year-on-year growth, positioning China at a relatively high level globally. China has strengthened countercyclical adjustments through macroeconomic policies, introducing a package of incremental measures to further drive economic recovery, boost market expectations and confidence, enhance economic vitality, and promote stable development in cross-border trade and investment. These measures provide a solid foundation for exchange market stability.

Second, the development of new institutions for a higher-standard open economy enhances the stability of the international balance of payments and the foreign exchange market. China's innovation-driven development strategy and comprehensive industry chain advantages will continue to play key roles. This will support stable foreign trade development, maintain the current account within a reasonable and balanced range, and strengthen internal-external economic equilibrium. Moreover, China's high-level institutional opening-up advances steadily, expanding cross-border investment channels, facilitating transactions, and promoting coordinated development of inbound and outbound investments. These measures will foster more balanced cross-border capital flows. Overall, maintaining balanced and stable international balance of payments helps preserve the yuan's stability at an adaptive and balanced level.

Third, the steady enhancement of China's foreign exchange market resilience helps adapt to and mitigate external environmental impacts. At the macro level, recent years have seen continuous improvement in the yuan's market-based exchange rate mechanism. The exchange rate's function as an automatic stabilizer for international balance of payments has strengthened, better releasing external pressures in a timely manner. At the micro level, businesses are utilizing forex derivatives more effectively to manage exchange rate risks and increasing cross-border yuan settlements to reduce currency mismatch risks. Since the beginning of this year, the forex hedging ratio of enterprises has reached 27%, while cross-border yuan usage in trade in goods has hit 30% – both at historically high levels. These positive macro and micro developments have alleviated the impact of forex market fluctuations on businesses, promoting more rational market expectations and transactions.

Regarding your concerns about the yuan exchange rate's impact on Chinese export enterprises, both theory and practice show that a country's exports are influenced by multiple factors, including external demand, domestic manufacturing capabilities and factor costs, with exchange rates being just one factor. Looking at China's situation, foreign trade has continued to improve this year. On the supply side, this improvement primarily stems from the enhanced competitiveness of domestic enterprises, while on the demand side, it relates to relatively stable global trade conditions. From a longer-term perspective, the main drivers of China's export growth have remained largely consistent.

From the perspective of exchange rate changes, this year the spot exchange rate of RMB against the US dollar has depreciated slightly by about 0.3 percent, and the RMB exchange rate has remained basically stable amid two-way fluctuations. Even the RMB exchange rate against the US dollar rebounding significantly in August and September was a general reaction of various non-dollar currencies to the weakening of the dollar. Moreover, the appreciation rate of the RMB is also at an average level globally, with its impact on imports and exports being relatively moderate.

SAFE has always paid close attention to changes within the situation. There are still some uncertain and unstable factors in the external environment. SAFE will monitor and evaluate international economic and financial situations as well as monetary policy trends of major developed economies. We will continue to accumulate and summarize response experiences, enrich the policy toolbox, and carry out countercyclical macro-prudential adjustments in a timely manner to effectively maintain the stable operation of the foreign exchange market. Thank you.

CCTV:

How have China's foreign exchange market and the international balance of payments performed so far this year? What characteristics do you think they have demonstrated? Thank you.

Li Hongyan:

Thank you for your questions. Regarding the current foreign exchange situation, I would like to share more information with you. As I mentioned earlier, the external environment has been complex and volatile so far this year. Monetary policy expectations of major developed economies have been repeatedly adjusted. The international financial market has continued to fluctuate. China's economic growth has shown a stable growth trend. The country's foreign exchange market has generally withstood the test of changes in the external environment and has shown stronger resilience, keeping a good momentum of steady growth. This can be observed from the following three aspects:

First, the RMB exchange rate remains basically stable amid two-way fluctuations. The RMB exchange rate is mainly determined by the market. Under the market-oriented formation mechanism, it is normal for the RMB to rise and fall in two-way volatility. I just mentioned that since the beginning of this year, the spot exchange rate of RMB against the US dollar has depreciated slightly by 0.3 percent, with a certain degree of decline and rise in some periods, but this is in line with changes in the internal and external environments. At the same time, compared with other currencies, the performance of the RMB in the global foreign exchange market is relatively stable. So far this year, the US dollar index has risen by 2.3%, the exchange rates of the euro and the Japanese yen against the US dollar have depreciated by 1.7% and 5.9%, respectively, and the emerging market currency index has fallen by 6.3%. It is thus clear that RMB fluctuations are normal and moderate.

Second, foreign exchange market expectations and transactions have remained rational and orderly. Relevant indicators in the foreign exchange forward and options markets show that there have not been any obvious expectations of appreciation or depreciation for the RMB exchange rate this year, and market transactions have been generally rational and orderly. As you all have seen, the RMB exchange rate has seen spikes and falls recently, with increased flexibility. Enterprises and other entities have seized the opportune timing to settle and sell foreign exchange based on cross-border trade, investment and financing needs. The total scale of foreign exchange settlement and sales in September increased by 14% compared with that in August. At the same time, in recent years, enterprises' awareness of exchange rate risk neutrality has been continuously enhanced, and the contract size of forward exchange settlements in August and September increased month by month, indicating that enterprises actively adapt to market fluctuations through exchange rate risk management.

Third, a basic equilibrium has been maintained in the balance of international payments. It demonstrated a surplus in the current account within a reasonable size. In the first half of this year, the surplus in the current account was $93.7 billion, accounting for 1.1% of the gross domestic product (GDP) in the same period, which was within a reasonable and balanced range. With this, trade in goods maintained a certain size of surplus and continued to play a fundamental role in stabilizing cross-border capital flows, and the deficit in trade in services basically returned to pre-epidemic levels. Preliminary statistics show that the current account surplus in the third quarter remained at a reasonable level. In the capital account, cross-border capital flows have recently become more balanced. Foreign investment in China has increased and foreign investment in domestic bonds has continued to rise steadily, with a cumulative net increase of more than $80 billion in the first three quarters. Recently, foreign investment in domestic stocks has also improved significantly, and holdings in foreign debt have remained stable. Outward investment by domestic entities has been carried out in an orderly manner and both direct investments and security investments have maintained a steady growth trend. Overall, the maturity and inherent resilience of China's foreign exchange market have both continued to increase, and its ability to adapt to changes in the external environment has also increased significantly, providing strong support for the overall stability of the foreign exchange receipts and payments this year.

That is all from me. Thank you.

Bloomberg News:

I have two questions. The first is that the U.S. Department of Treasury has raised some doubts about the balance of payments and statements by SAFE, including on the calculation of the trade deficit, and they have asked SAFE to provide more information about how you're calculating the goods trade deficit as compared to the customs administration, including in recent meetings and high-level meetings. Will you provide more information on how this is calculated for the U.S. Treasury and the public? My second question is, recently, there's been a rebound in the stock market due to expectations about stimulus. Do you have any information on how this is affecting capital inflows of foreign investors? And what is your outlook for cross-border capital flows through the end of this year? Thank you.

Jia Ning: 

Thank you for your attention to the balance of payments statistics. The discrepancies between goods trade figures in the balance of payments and customs import-export data aren't unique to China – they're common worldwide. These differences primarily arise from the different international standards followed by balance of payments and customs statistics, which highlights the importance of understanding their respective statistical methodologies. While the balance of payments focuses on the economic ownership of goods between residents and non-residents – essentially documenting transactions between domestic and foreign companies, customs statistics are solely concerned with the physical movement of goods across China's borders, regardless of ownership changes. Let me illustrate this with a common example from processing trade: When a foreign company provides all raw materials and contracts a domestic company for processing and assembly, with the finished products remaining foreign-owned, these transactions aren't included in the balance of payments since no ownership transfer occurs. However, customs records the full value of these goods as imports and exports since they physically cross the border.

It's important to recognize that as a major global trading and consuming nation, China has diverse trading patterns and a complex trade structure. The separation between goods transactions and their physical cross-border movement is increasingly common in international trade, naturally leading to more noticeable differences between these two sets of data. In a globalized economy, foreign multinationals may contract production in China, and the products may be sold directly in the domestic market. Since these goods do not cross borders, the transaction is not reflected from customs statistics. However, when these goods are sold domestically, the ownership transfers from the foreign company to a domestic entity, requiring their inclusion in the balance of payments import statistics. Additionally, the valuation principles differ between the two data sets. Balance of payments statistics measure the value of goods themselves, excluding transport and insurance costs. In contrast, customs statistics record exports at free on board (FOB) prices and imports at cost, insurance and freight (CIF) prices. 

These detailed explanations can be found in our newly released “China's Balance of Payments Report for the First Half of 2024” and previous reports. To achieve more comprehensive and accurate statistics on the goods trade in the balance of payments, since 2022, SAFE has been using data directly reported by enterprises, aligning more closely with the principles of goods trading. Balance of payments statements worldwide are compiled according to the uniform standards set by the International Monetary Fund. During this year's Article IV Consultation for China, the IMF fully endorsed China's new compilation methodology, recognizing that it addresses the practical challenges faced by China and better adheres to balance of payments statistical principles. Recently, at a special session of the China-U.S. financial working group, SAFE also had thorough and effective discussions with the U.S. Treasury on statistical issues. Looking ahead, SAFE will continue to monitor developments in China's foreign trade, refine our statistical methods, and provide higher-quality balance of payments data to the public.

As for the second question you asked, Mrs. Li responded previously. In general, China's balance of payments has solid economic foundation with sound market conditions. Since this year, the current account has developed steadily with two-way trade increasing and surplus continuing to be reasonable and balanced. From the perspective of the capital account, recent foreign direct investment has improved, and foreign purchases of bonds and stocks under portfolio investments have been sound. Therefore, we are confident and have good reason to believe that in the future months and even further China's cross-border investment capital will remain to have a trend that is steady and sound. Thank you for your concern. 

Cover News:

How do you evaluate the balance of payments in the current account? What is your judgement on future trends of the current account? Thank you. 

Jia Ning:

Thank you for your concern about China's current account. The current account is an important indicator showing whether a country balances its internal and external economies well. Since this year, China's current account has kept a reasonable surplus, indicating that the balanced pattern of internal and external economies has been further consolidated. Just now, Mrs. Li introduced China's current account surplus as a share of GDP and the main components of the current account in the first half of this year. In recent years, China has given full play to relative advantages in industrial and supply chains, increased competitiveness in foreign trade and has boosted productive service industries' exports. At the same time, relying on consumption potential of a large domestic market, global trade partners fully enjoy China's development opportunities, as well as advance balanced development of China's imports and exports. Looking ahead, China's current account will continue the development trend of expanding scale and basic balance, which will help maintain the balance of payments and the sound operation of the foreign exchange market. 

First, China's imports and exports in goods is expected to grow steadily, with the surplus of trade staying relatively stable. In terms of exports, on one hand, the global economy has seen moderate recovery and foreign demand still drives exports. According to predictions by the World Trade Organization, the growth rate of global trade next year will be 3%, up 0.3 percentage point compared to this year. At the same time, the replenishment cycle in developed economies is not yet complete, and the digital consumption market is expected to remain moderate, which supports China's exports. On the other hand, endogenous dynamics of export development is still strong. China has a comprehensive industrial system, which has been deeply integrated into global supply chains and value chains over the years. China's traded goods have become more diverse, with improved structure and diverse trade partners. In terms of imports, the performance of China's domestic economy sustains a recovery trend, further unleashing consumption vitality while increasing needs for international goods. At the same time, China in recent years has carried out a series of policies and measures to further expand imports, opening the door for the world to get access to China's market and further increasing the volume of imports. In general, under the combined effect of favorable internal and external factors, the total volume of China's foreign trade of goods will continue to remain at the forefront of the world, and the trade balance will develop in a more balanced direction.

Second, the structure of service trade balance is gradually improving, and the trade balance is expected to improve. In recent years, China has been promoting both industrial transformation and upgrading, fostering the deep integration of the service industry with the manufacturing sector. High-end services such as the digital economy and intellectual property rights have both seen acceleration in their development, leading to steady growth in service trade exports. In the first three quarters of 2024, the cross-border revenue from telecommunication, computer and information services, as well as business services, totaled $123.6 billion, representing a year-on-year increase of 6.8%. Revenue from intellectual property usage fees reached $9.1 billion, up 5.5% year on year. Another major component of service trade is travel, where outbound tourism and studying abroad have both seen steady recovery, nearly returning to pre-pandemic levels. Future growth rates are expected to be moderate. Moreover, since the beginning of this year, China has continued to optimize services for foreign personnel coming to China, expanding visa facilitation, which has contributed to rapid growth in revenue with cross-border travel. This trend is likely to continue and help narrow trade deficits with travel in the future. 

Thank you. 

Xing Huina:

Let's continue with the questions. I see another journalist has her hand raised.

National Business Daily:

In recent years, the two-way fluctuation flexibility of the RMB has increased. SAFE has been promoting enterprises to adopt the concept of exchange rate risk neutrality. What other suggestions do you have for enterprises to manage exchange rate risks? Thank you.

Li Hongyan: 

Thank you for your question. In recent years, the media has helped the foreign exchange management department to raise public awareness about enterprise exchange rate risk management through their effective reporting. First of all, I would like to thank you all for your support in foreign exchange management. SAFE has always prioritized, supported and facilitated the exchange rate risk management of enterprises, undertaking various initiatives. On one hand, the conditions in the forex market for serving enterprises in exchange rate risk management are continuously improving. At present, a mature international foreign exchange derivatives system, including forwards, swaps and options, has taken shape. More than 120 large, small, medium-sized, domestic and foreign banks now offer foreign exchange derivatives services, with market coverage nationwide. Also, the trading currencies of these banks encompass the main currencies used in cross-border settlements by enterprises, with fully functional trading, clearing and other infrastructure. On the other hand, we have continued to guide enterprises to establish the concept of exchange rate risk neutrality and encouraged banks to strengthen foreign exchange services for enterprises, especially micro, small and medium-sized enterprises. Through these efforts, the exchange rate risk management of enterprises has steadily improved in recent years. In the first three quarters of this year, the volume of foreign exchange derivatives used by companies to manage exchange rate risk exceeded $1.1 trillion, with over 32,000 enterprises engaging in currency hedging for the first time. All these figures are at historically high levels.

In an open economy with market-driven exchange rates, enterprises need to prioritize exchange rate risk management. The use of forex derivatives is an important approach to mitigating these risks. We have also learned in our day-to-day research that some enterprises still have concerns over the costs and effectiveness of these derivatives. I'd like to share some thoughts with you, including with enterprises. Foreign exchange derivatives follow a standard market pricing mechanism used globally. For example, the price of forward contracts fluctuates based on the spot price of foreign exchange and the interest rate differential between domestic and foreign currencies. In addition, purchasing foreign exchange options is similar to buying insurance, which requires the payment of insurance premium. It is both necessary and cost-effective for enterprises to incur some costs for hedging. The essence of hedging is to transform the uncertainty of future exchange rate fluctuations into certainty, thereby reducing their impact on business operations. Market practice also shows that enterprises should reasonably utilize various tools such as forex derivatives for hedging according to their own foreign exchange exposure, so as to correctly evaluate the effect. In particular, they cannot simply evaluate whether the hedging resulted in a loss or gain by comparing the locked-in forward exchange rate with the spot exchange rate at maturity.

Managing exchange rate risk for enterprises is a key task for SAFE. We will continue to strengthen market training, encourage financial institutions to optimize their services, join hands with various parties to lower foreign exchange hedging costs, deepen the development of the forex market, and improve foreign exchange financial infrastructure services, thus supporting enterprises in managing their forex risks.

This August, we released an updated version of the book "Guidelines on Enterprise Exchange Rate Risk Management" on our official website. The edition includes new sections on market practices and case studies from various enterprises. It also introduces applications of hedge accounting, addressing concerns many enterprises have. We hope this book can better provide targeted help for enterprises. Additionally, we appreciate continued support from the media in promoting it. Thank you.

Xing Huina:

Thank you to our two speakers, and thank you to all the journalists for your participation. This concludes today's press conference.

Translated and edited by Wang Ziteng, Wang Wei, Gong Yingchun, Zhou Jing, Zhu Bochen, Huang Shan, Chen Xinyan, Yuan Fang, Ma Yujia, Zhang Junmian, Liao Jiaxin, Li Huiru, Liu Jianing, Wang Qian, Zhang Tingting, Liu Qiang, Jay Birbeck, David Ball and Rochelle Beiersdorfer. In case of any discrepancy between the English and Chinese texts, the Chinese version is deemed to prevail.